Research Markets

Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics: An Expected Utility Framework

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Key Insights

  • Even if an asset has no fundamental uncertainty with a constant dividend process, a stochastic sentiment-driven equilibrium for the asset price exists besides the well-known fundamental equilibrium.
  • Our paper constructs such sentiment-driven equilibria under general utility functions within an OLG s.
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@misc{ acaciamarkets-research-self-fulfilling-risk-panics-an-expected-utility-framework,
  title = { Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics: An Expected Utility Framework },
  author = { NBER },
  year = { 2026 },
  url = { https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3756316 },
  note = {Summarized and classified by AcaciaFund}
}
TY  - GEN
TI  - Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics: An Expected Utility Framework
AU  - NBER
PY  - 2026
UR  - https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3756316
ER  -

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Overview

Even if an asset has no fundamental uncertainty with a constant dividend process, a stochastic sentiment-driven equilibrium for the asset price exists besides the well-known fundamental equilibrium. Our paper constructs such sentiment-driven equilibria under general utility functions within an OLG structure. Our paper further shows that the existence of sentiment-driven equilibria is robust in a standard infinite-period model as long as the pricing kernel is affected by the asset price.

Key Topics

  • Market Microstructure: A theme covered by this item within the markets context.
  • Quantitative Modeling: A theme covered by this item within the markets context.
  • Macro Finance: A theme covered by this item within the markets context.

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